Fri, Jan 5, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 2, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 110 | 18 | 07 | 225 |
| NJD | 013 | 110 | 39 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:05CHIJason DickinsonPPAssists: Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 10:08NJDAlexander HoltzAssists: Simon Nemec · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 18:24CHIBoris KatchoukSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 5:41NJDSimon NemecAssists: Chris Tierney, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P3 11:56NJDMichael McLeodGWGAssists: Curtis Lazar, Alexander Holtz · Tip-in, 0.16 xG2–3
- P3 19:33NJDTyler ToffoliENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.58 xG2–4
Penalties (22)
- P1 6:20CHIReese Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P1 10:10NJDKevin Bahl: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:49CHINick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:49CHINick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:49NJDBrendan Smith: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:20NJDJonas Siegenthaler: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:57NJDColin Miller: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:05CHIJaycob Megna: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:02NJDDawson Mercer: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:02CHIRyan Donato: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic: Instigator2 min
- P2 5:02NJDNathan Bastian: Boarding2 min
- P2 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:02NJDNathan Bastian: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 5:04CHINick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:04NJDBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:17CHIBrett Seney: Cross checking2 min
- P2 14:17NJDColin Miller: Holding2 min
- P2 16:39CHIJaycob Megna: Holding2 min
- P2 19:54NJDNathan Bastian: Interference2 min
- P3 9:31CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Blackwell – Dickinson3:00
xG 0.31–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Donato2:22
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Seney – Katchouk – Johnson7:17
xG 0.07–0.03 (70%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Entwistle – Guttman – Reichel6:47
xG 0.22–0.60 (27%)attempts 6–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Murphy10:17
xG 0.35–0.24 (60%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Megna – Vlasic6:49
xG 0.18–0.20 (48%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Megna2:17
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestLazar – McLeod – Holtz7:15
xG 0.49–0.16 (75%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Bratt – Hughes7:34
xG 0.36–0.17 (68%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Hischier – Mercer7:39
xG 0.13–0.24 (34%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Bahl10:20
xG 0.62–0.04 (94%)attempts 19–4goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Nemec9:28
xG 0.33–0.38 (47%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Marino – Hughes11:08
xG 0.38–0.46 (45%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).