Mon, Jan 8, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Vancouver Canucks 6, New York Rangers 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 37 | 214 | 15 | 626 |
| NYR | 113 | 115 | 114 | 342 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:38NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 4:31VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser · Slap, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 6:45VANNils HoglanderAssists: Nils Aman, Sam Lafferty · Snap, 0.16 xG2–1
- P1 19:44VANBrock BoeserAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.15 xG3–1
- P2 8:19NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 15:33VANElias PetterssonGWGAssists: Teddy Blueger, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–2
- P2 16:47VANNils HoglanderAssists: Pius Suter, Filip Hronek · Backhand, 0.07 xG5–2
- P3 3:36NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.04 xG5–3
- P3 18:29VANElias PetterssonENAssists: Brock Boeser, Tyler Myers · Wrist, 0.64 xG6–3
Penalties (2)
- P1 2:16VANNils Aman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 9:18VANFilip Hronek: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Joshua – Garland11:31
xG 0.69–0.55 (56%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
- Miller – Boeser – Pettersson14:49
xG 0.93–0.89 (51%)attempts 14–16goals 2–1
- Lafferty – Hoglander – Aman7:55
xG 0.16–0.17 (49%)attempts 1–4goals 1–0
- Suter – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko11:18
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes17:59
xG 1.03–0.89 (54%)attempts 17–18goals 5–1
- Cole – Zadorov15:10
xG 0.55–0.43 (56%)attempts 12–16goals 0–1
- Myers – Soucy15:02
xG 0.73–0.67 (52%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Bonino – Brodzinski – Othmann5:01
xG 0.02–0.01 (75%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Brodzinski4:04
xG 0.22–0.23 (49%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Kreider – Zibanejad11:48
xG 0.22–0.28 (44%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Cuylle7:19
xG 0.50–0.70 (42%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:01
xG 0.36–0.30 (55%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Fox6:18
xG 0.35–0.30 (54%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Lindgren – Schneider4:41
xG 0.13–0.10 (56%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).