Thu, Jan 11, 2024·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Boston Bruins 1, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 010 | 115 | 00 | 133 |
| VGK | 012 | 06 | 16 | 11 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 7:01VGKJack EichelPPAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, Alec Martinez · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P3 12:18BOSMatt GrzelcykAssists: Trent Frederic · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- OT 0:46VGKAlex PietrangeloGWGAssists: Mark Stone, Jack Eichel · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:22BOSJames van Riemsdyk: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:02BOSHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:08BOSCharlie McAvoy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 16:51VGKBrayden McNabb: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:52BOSDanton Heinen: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:53VGKIvan Barbashev: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:29BOSDanton Heinen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 9:36VGKPaul Cotter: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eichel won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Coyle – DeBrusk7:11
xG 0.47–0.08 (85%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Heinen – DeBrusk – Geekie2:41
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Boqvist7:15
xG 0.20–0.06 (78%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Lauko – Beecher4:09
xG 0.07–0.06 (55%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy11:02
xG 1.37–0.10 (93%)attempts 23–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Wotherspoon8:59
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Lohrei4:09
xG 0.34–0.27 (55%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- Kolesar – Howden – Rondbjerg6:44
xG 0.04–0.06 (43%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Stone – Barbashev – Eichel7:26
xG 0.23–0.26 (46%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Amadio – Howden – Rondbjerg2:57
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Marchessault – Stephenson – Dorofeyev10:22
xG 0.28–0.53 (34%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Korczak13:46
xG 0.28–0.14 (67%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Hague – Whitecloud12:30
xG 0.35–0.79 (31%)attempts 8–18goals 0–0
- Martinez – Pietrangelo15:21
xG 0.35–1.37 (20%)attempts 14–26goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).