Sat, Jan 13, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Seattle Kraken 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 214 | 215 | 37 | 736 |
| CBJ | 29 | 113 | 112 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:41CBJIvan ProvorovAssists: Adam Fantilli · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 11:37SEAJordan EberleAssists: Adam Larsson, Tomas Tatar · Snap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 12:10CBJIvan ProvorovAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Andrew Peeke · Snap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P1 15:31SEAJared McCannAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand · Snap, 0.24 xG2–2
- P2 4:43CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Adam Boqvist, Johnny Gaudreau · Slap, 0.10 xG2–3
- P2 9:45SEATye KartyeAssists: Vince Dunn, Yanni Gourde · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–3
- P2 13:42SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Jared McCann, Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 6:17SEAJared McCannGWGAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Brian Dumoulin · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–3
- P3 8:28SEABrian DumoulinAssists: Justin Schultz, Alexander Wennberg · Snap, 0.08 xG6–3
- P3 12:29CBJEmil BemstromAssists: Kent Johnson, Andrew Peeke · Snap, 0.09 xG6–4
- P3 18:55SEAEeli TolvanenENAssists: Yanni Gourde, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.74 xG7–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:07SEAAdam Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:58SEAWill Borgen: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 3:58SEATye Kartye: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 7:22CBJAlexandre Texier: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:03CBJCole Sillinger: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 12:03SEAVince Dunn: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:03CBJCole Sillinger: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen8:12
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Wennberg – Tanev11:10
xG 0.46–0.42 (53%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Eberle – Tatar – Beniers7:09
xG 0.26–0.37 (42%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Eberle – Tatar – McCann3:05
xG 0.12–0.27 (30%)attempts 2–4goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen13:40
xG 0.62–0.46 (57%)attempts 10–14goals 1–2
- Larsson – Dunn14:58
xG 0.50–0.55 (47%)attempts 10–20goals 2–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin12:10
xG 0.45–0.51 (47%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Chinakhov – Sillinger12:16
xG 1.05–0.29 (79%)attempts 20–7goals 0–1
- Roslovic – Johnson – Fantilli6:58
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 7–5goals 1–1
- Bemstrom – Johnson – Fantilli4:56
xG 0.15–0.32 (32%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Roslovic – Danforth2:11
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov2:43
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Provorov – Peeke11:59
xG 0.50–0.42 (54%)attempts 15–12goals 3–0
- Provorov – Bean2:20
xG 0.08–0.07 (54%)attempts 4–1goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).