Mon, Jan 15, 2024·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 0, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 09 | 010 | 012 | 031 |
| BOS | 016 | 19 | 211 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:30BOSCharlie CoyleGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–1
- P3 3:22BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.07 xG0–2
- P3 18:42BOSTrent FredericENUnassisted · Poke, 0.74 xG0–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:08NJDJohn Marino: Boarding2 min
- P1 6:53NJDSimon Nemec: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 9:23BOSCharlie McAvoy: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:23NJDMichael McLeod: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:10NJDMax Willman: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:46NJDTyler Toffoli: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:44BOSTrent Frederic: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTierney – Lazar – Bastian3:38
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Tierney – Lazar – Holtz6:20
xG 0.15–0.13 (53%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Hischier – Mercer10:03
xG 0.57–0.63 (47%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
- Willman – Bastian – Bowers3:18
xG 0.08–0.43 (15%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHughes – Nemec5:47
xG 0.61–0.09 (87%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Miller – Marino2:33
xG 0.11–0.07 (59%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Bahl5:46
xG 0.15–0.17 (47%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHeinen – Zacha – DeBrusk9:15
xG 0.80–0.25 (76%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Marchand – Coyle – Pastrnak9:47
xG 0.87–0.73 (54%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Geekie – Boqvist7:10
xG 0.15–0.16 (48%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Frederic – Steen – Lauko4:49
xG 0.07–0.16 (31%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy14:07
xG 1.41–0.56 (72%)attempts 20–16goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Lohrei11:16
xG 0.28–0.32 (46%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Wotherspoon2:00
xG 0.01–0.06 (18%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).