Mon, Jan 15, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 214 | 110 | 05 | 01 | 0 | 330 |
| CBJ | 17 | 125 | 17 | 04 | 1 | 443 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:28VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Nikita Zadorov · Slap, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 5:55CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 14:54VANConor GarlandAssists: Teddy Blueger, Dakota Joshua · Snap, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 3:28CBJDmitri VoronkovPPAssists: Adam Boqvist, Johnny Gaudreau · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 7:35VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 10:57CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Jack Roslovic · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Johnny Gaudreau stopped
- 2. VAN Andrei Kuzmenko stopped
- 3. CBJ Egor Chinakhov stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 5. CBJ Kent Johnson stopped
- 6. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 7. CBJ Kirill Marchenko scored
- 8. VAN Pius Suter stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:26CBJJack Roslovic: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:24VANIan Cole: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:53VANJ.T. Miller: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:02CBJJake Bean: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:09CBJDamon Severson: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:24VANNikita Zadorov: Interference2 min
- P2 18:24VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:48CBJDmitri Voronkov: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 2:28VANElias Pettersson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Sillinger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Blueger – Joshua – Garland9:38
xG 0.36–0.47 (44%)attempts 3–12goals 1–1
- Miller – Boeser – Pettersson12:04
xG 0.46–0.92 (33%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
- Lafferty – Hoglander – Aman8:27
xG 0.15–0.63 (19%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Suter – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko10:19
xG 0.51–1.10 (32%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Soucy15:23
xG 1.12–0.56 (67%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Soucy – Hronek2:15
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Hronek – Hughes15:24
xG 0.88–1.06 (45%)attempts 19–18goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestRoslovic – Marchenko – Voronkov9:46
xG 1.11–0.12 (91%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Chinakhov – Sillinger13:56
xG 1.20–0.83 (59%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Texier9:18
xG 0.64–0.35 (64%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Johnson – Fantilli8:31
xG 0.12–0.72 (14%)attempts 4–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Bean15:14
xG 1.21–0.24 (84%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Provorov – Peeke12:06
xG 1.25–1.00 (56%)attempts 16–15goals 2–2
- Severson – Boqvist14:50
xG 0.60–0.83 (42%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).