Tue, Jan 16, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Seattle Kraken 2, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 18 | 016 | 17 | 231 |
| NYR | 27 | 210 | 16 | 523 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:22NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 10:41SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Jared McCann, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Snap, 0.20 xG1–1
- P1 11:09NYRErik GustafssonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 12:32NYRBlake WheelerGWGAssists: Jonny Brodzinski, Braden Schneider · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 17:01NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.17 xG1–4
- P3 14:24SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Justin Schultz · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–4
- P3 17:22NYRBlake WheelerENAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.68 xG2–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 4:18SEAJaden Schwartz: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:01SEAJustin Schultz: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 9:14NYRBarclay Goodrow: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 13:36NYRK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Tatar – McCann10:42
xG 0.98–0.24 (80%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Hayden – Yamamoto – Kartye7:21
xG 0.17–0.15 (54%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Wennberg – Tanev11:02
xG 0.64–0.65 (50%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen11:54
xG 0.39–0.60 (39%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Dumoulin7:26
xG 0.35–0.06 (85%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Evans4:51
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen16:28
xG 0.97–1.14 (46%)attempts 14–14goals 0–2
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Kakko11:21
xG 0.64–0.53 (54%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Wheeler – Brodzinski – Cuylle7:27
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière13:20
xG 0.44–0.66 (40%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Bonino – Goodrow – Vesey11:43
xG 0.43–0.79 (35%)attempts 9–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Schneider12:08
xG 0.68–0.27 (72%)attempts 14–9goals 2–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:54
xG 0.67–0.91 (43%)attempts 14–20goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller19:52
xG 0.46–1.06 (30%)attempts 9–26goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).