Tue, Jan 16, 2024·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 015 | 112 | 02 | 1 | 138 |
| CHI | 15 | 09 | 08 | 03 | 2 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:41CHICole GuttmanPPAssists: Ryan Donato, Kevin Korchinski · Between legs, 0.20 xG0–1
- P3 5:13SJSRyan CarpenterAssists: Justin Bailey, Mike Hoffman · Snap, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CHI Philipp Kurashev stopped
- 2. SJS Fabian Zetterlund stopped
- 3. CHI Ryan Donato stopped
- 4. SJS Kevin Labanc scored
- 5. CHI Rem Pitlick scored
- 6. CHI Lukas Reichel stopped
- 7. SJS Mike Hoffman stopped
- 8. CHI Jason Dickinson stopped
- 9. SJS Luke Kunin stopped
- 10. CHI Cole Guttman stopped
- 11. SJS William Eklund stopped
- 12. CHI Taylor Raddysh stopped
- 13. CHI Zachary Sanford stopped
- 14. SJS Alexander Barabanov stopped
- 15. CHI Boris Katchouk scored
- 16. SJS Filip Zadina stopped
Penalties (12)
- P1 4:46SJSAlexander Barabanov: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:51SJSRyan Carpenter: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 11:46CHIJaycob Megna: Interference2 min
- P2 1:28SJSFabian Zetterlund: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:25SJSKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:25CHICole Guttman: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:25SJSKyle Burroughs: Boarding2 min
- P2 9:25CHICole Guttman: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:59SJSScott Sabourin: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:59CHIJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:43CHIBoris Katchouk: Hooking2 min
- OT 0:45SJSMario Ferraro: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Zetterlund – Barabanov8:46
xG 0.66–0.22 (75%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Kunin – Zetterlund – Barabanov4:00
xG 0.49–0.20 (71%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Bailey – Carpenter2:55
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Hertl – Zadina – Eklund10:38
xG 0.49–0.48 (50%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Okhotiuk12:16
xG 1.51–0.56 (73%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Ferraro12:22
xG 0.72–0.34 (68%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Rutta – Thrun12:34
xG 0.68–0.35 (66%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Raddysh – Pitlick – Kurashev13:18
xG 0.79–0.83 (49%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Sanford – Donato – Katchouk6:42
xG 0.16–0.76 (17%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
- Entwistle – Guttman – Reichel7:38
xG 0.05–0.69 (7%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson12:20
xG 0.13–0.87 (13%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tinordi – Megna10:51
xG 0.53–0.54 (50%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Korchinski2:01
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Megna – Vlasic5:43
xG 0.13–0.51 (21%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).