Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 011 | 211 | 011 | 233 |
| LAK | 08 | 113 | 013 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:56NSHRyan O'ReillyPPAssists: Roman Josi, Colton Sissons · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 8:52LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 13:40NSHGustav NyquistGWGAssists: Luke Schenn, Ryan O'Reilly · Snap, 0.11 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:43NSHFilip Forsberg: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:38NSHColton Sissons: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:48LAKQuinton Byfield: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:25LAKMatt Roy: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:17NSHDante Fabbro: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:25LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:35NSHRyan McDonagh: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P3 10:39NSHJeremy Lauzon: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg8:35
xG 0.41–0.26 (61%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Sissons – Trenin – Tomasino2:41
xG 0.10–0.02 (82%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Gurianov – Glass – Tomasino5:14
xG 0.19–0.13 (60%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Sissons – Trenin – Smith6:26
xG 0.15–0.11 (58%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLauzon – Carrier12:41
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- McDonagh – Schenn11:12
xG 0.67–0.52 (56%)attempts 19–8goals 1–0
- Josi – Fabbro13:09
xG 0.44–0.56 (44%)attempts 12–21goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDubois – Anderson-Dolan – Laferriere6:09
xG 0.60–0.34 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore12:17
xG 0.62–0.43 (59%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Kaliyev6:02
xG 0.10–0.06 (64%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield8:04
xG 0.04–0.20 (16%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Spence9:39
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson14:01
xG 0.45–0.43 (51%)attempts 18–14goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Roy15:17
xG 0.54–0.60 (48%)attempts 21–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).