Fri, Jan 19, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 011 | 413 | 09 | 433 |
| CBJ | 15 | 014 | 011 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:21CBJCole SillingerAssists: Egor Chinakhov, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 0:28NJDJohn MarinoAssists: Simon Nemec · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 8:40NJDAlexander HoltzGWGAssists: Cal Foote, Max Willman · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 13:31NJDNico HischierUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 14:43NJDNathan BastianAssists: Kevin Bahl · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:58NJDErik Haula: Interference2 min
- P1 6:27CBJIvan Provorov: Interference2 min
- P1 13:34NJDTyler Toffoli: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:38CBJAndrew Peeke: Holding2 min
- P2 1:23CBJJack Roslovic: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:39NJDKevin Bahl: Interference2 min
- P3 0:46CBJAlexandre Texier: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Sillinger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTierney – Willman – Holtz7:34
xG 0.34–0.09 (80%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Bratt – Hischier9:49
xG 0.53–0.54 (50%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Meier – McLeod – Mercer10:38
xG 0.41–0.42 (49%)attempts 8–21goals 0–1
- Haula – Lazar – Bastian8:23
xG 0.31–0.66 (32%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMarino – Nemec14:52
xG 0.79–0.51 (61%)attempts 15–20goals 1–0
- Foote – Bahl12:39
xG 0.34–0.53 (39%)attempts 9–12goals 2–0
- Miller – Hughes13:01
xG 0.42–0.99 (29%)attempts 14–17goals 1–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Johnson8:18
xG 0.81–0.28 (74%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Texier10:08
xG 0.55–0.29 (65%)attempts 28–8goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Chinakhov – Sillinger9:35
xG 0.50–0.54 (48%)attempts 8–9goals 1–2
- Jenner – Roslovic – Fantilli11:51
xG 0.23–0.38 (38%)attempts 6–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestProvorov – Peeke8:40
xG 0.81–0.21 (80%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Bean11:53
xG 0.56–0.46 (55%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Provorov – Boqvist4:15
xG 0.05–0.10 (32%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).