Mon, Jan 22, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 06 | 211 | 18 | 02 | 2 | 427 |
| LAK | 018 | 110 | 214 | 05 | 0 | 347 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:46SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Mike Hoffman, Tomas Hertl · Snap, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 9:06SJSWilliam EklundAssists: Nico Sturm, Jan Rutta · Snap, 0.09 xG2–0
- P2 17:06LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 1:33LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Adrian Kempe, Jordan Spence · Slap, 0.45 xG2–2
- P3 6:17SJSJustin BaileyAssists: Ryan Carpenter · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 18:02LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.04 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 2. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 3. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 4. SJS Fabian Zetterlund scored
Penalties (4)
- P1 15:14SJSAnthony Duclair: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:13LAKJordan Spence: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:20SJSLuke Kunin: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:23SJSKaapo Kahkonen: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Duclair – Barabanov7:59
xG 0.68–0.47 (59%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Hertl – Zetterlund – Eklund3:30
xG 0.04–0.02 (66%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Couture – Zetterlund – Barabanov2:00
xG 0.08–0.15 (34%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Kunin – Sturm – Eklund8:04
xG 0.32–0.46 (41%)attempts 6–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Ferraro8:23
xG 0.54–0.14 (79%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Thrun3:45
xG 0.04–0.10 (31%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Burroughs – Okhotiuk6:40
xG 0.29–0.64 (31%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore16:21
xG 1.42–0.61 (70%)attempts 24–15goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield5:57
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Fagemo5:59
xG 0.47–0.13 (78%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Dubois – Anderson-Dolan – Laferriere2:52
xG 0.08–0.11 (40%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Spence12:24
xG 1.25–0.43 (74%)attempts 23–12goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Clarke12:58
xG 1.09–0.49 (69%)attempts 23–13goals 0–1
- Doughty – Clarke2:34
xG 0.59–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).