Wed, Jan 24, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Seattle Kraken 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 115 | 06 | 113 | 234 |
| SEA | 28 | 212 | 29 | 629 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:34SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 7:12SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Vince Dunn · Deflected, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 17:20CHIJoey AndersonAssists: Seth Jones, Jason Dickinson · Slap, 0.20 xG1–2
- P2 0:15SEAAlexander WennbergGWGUnassisted · Other, 0.99 xG1–3
- P2 17:28SEABrandon TanevAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Tye Kartye · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–4
- P3 0:39CHINick FolignoPPAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Seth Jones · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–4
- P3 4:28SEATomas TatarAssists: Jordan Eberle, Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–5
- P3 16:22SEATomas TatarAssists: Will Borgen, Jared McCann · Snap, 0.08 xG2–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:53SEAEeli Tolvanen: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:56CHIAlex Vlasic: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:35SEATye Kartye: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:52CHISeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:29SEAAndre Burakovsky: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 13:34CHIJarred Tinordi: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Donato – Pitlick – Entwistle10:19
xG 0.44–0.42 (51%)attempts 9–9goals 0–2
- Foligno – Raddysh – Kurashev9:17
xG 0.35–0.37 (49%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
- Sanford – Katchouk – Johnson8:16
xG 0.12–0.51 (19%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson12:09
xG 0.47–1.81 (21%)attempts 15–20goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Tinordi – Crevier13:32
xG 0.47–0.62 (43%)attempts 14–13goals 0–1
- Megna – Korchinski15:34
xG 0.38–0.67 (36%)attempts 9–21goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic13:50
xG 0.82–1.49 (35%)attempts 22–11goals 1–3
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Yamamoto – Tolvanen9:18
xG 0.48–0.13 (79%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Shore – Tanev – Kartye5:39
xG 0.37–0.11 (77%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Eberle – Tatar – McCann10:36
xG 0.59–0.43 (58%)attempts 15–8goals 3–0
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – Wennberg7:51
xG 0.37–0.77 (33%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn12:42
xG 1.58–0.56 (74%)attempts 12–20goals 2–1
- Oleksiak – Borgen15:15
xG 0.58–0.49 (54%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin11:24
xG 0.44–0.58 (43%)attempts 11–16goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).