Sun, Jan 28, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 06 | 218 | 232 |
| SEA | 310 | 08 | 18 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:40SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Vince Dunn · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 16:04SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–2
- P1 17:58SEAJordan EberlePPGWGAssists: Jared McCann, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 7:12CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Damon Severson, Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 15:58CBJEgor ChinakhovUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 19:47SEABrandon TanevENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.49 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 11:42CBJDmitri Voronkov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 17:44CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:16SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:47CBJZach Werenski: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:18SEAMatty Beniers: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Johnson6:29
xG 0.19–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Chinakhov7:15
xG 0.47–0.44 (52%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Bemstrom – Johnson – Sillinger2:50
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Texier12:30
xG 0.08–0.16 (34%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Provorov2:48
xG 0.15–0.02 (89%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski4:57
xG 0.24–0.11 (69%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Peeke – Bean7:08
xG 0.14–0.10 (58%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen12:57
xG 0.80–0.22 (79%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Eberle – Tatar – McCann8:02
xG 0.37–0.14 (72%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – Wennberg9:21
xG 0.40–0.34 (55%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Tanev – Kartye – Beniers11:04
xG 0.06–0.14 (30%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen15:07
xG 0.80–0.42 (66%)attempts 19–14goals 0–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin13:14
xG 0.40–0.17 (70%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn15:47
xG 0.48–0.36 (57%)attempts 14–22goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).