Tue, Jan 30, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Seattle Kraken 0, San Jose Sharks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 013 | 05 | 014 | 032 |
| SJS | 03 | 05 | 214 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 7:27SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicGWGAssists: Ty Emberson, William Eklund · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P3 19:39SJSJan RuttaENAssists: William Eklund · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 8:06SJSShakir Mukhamadullin: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:25SEAJamie Oleksiak: Holding2 min
- P3 3:45SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:45SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Sturm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Tatar – McCann11:32
xG 0.91–0.22 (80%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Wennberg – Tanev9:58
xG 0.50–0.02 (96%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen11:51
xG 0.85–0.52 (62%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Kartye – Beniers11:10
xG 0.25–0.37 (40%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn18:28
xG 1.22–0.43 (74%)attempts 20–15goals 0–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin12:43
xG 1.20–0.68 (64%)attempts 21–11goals 0–1
- Oleksiak – Borgen15:05
xG 0.66–0.42 (61%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Bailey – Carpenter – Zadina7:38
xG 0.36–0.47 (43%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Duclair – Barabanov – Eklund12:46
xG 0.49–0.65 (43%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Couture – Hoffman – Zetterlund10:55
xG 0.21–0.54 (28%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAddison – Okhotiuk7:38
xG 0.28–0.13 (68%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Emberson12:09
xG 0.40–0.57 (41%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Rutta – Mukhamadullin10:34
xG 0.32–0.84 (28%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).