Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Edmonton Oilers 0, Los Angeles Kings 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 05 | 011 | 010 | 026 |
| LAK | 010 | 28 | 28 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:38LAKPierre-Luc DuboisPPGWGAssists: Jordan Spence, Trevor Moore · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 3:27LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Quinton Byfield · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P3 7:06LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P3 17:18LAKQuinton ByfieldENAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.78 xG0–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:48EDMVincent Desharnais: Holding2 min
- P1 10:13LAKAndreas Englund: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 15:29LAKCarl Grundstrom: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:29EDMLeon Draisaitl: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:11EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:26LAKCarl Grundstrom: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 16:38LAKTrevor Moore: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:06LAKCarl Grundstrom: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 13:28EDMMattias Janmark: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:28LAKMatt Roy: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McLeod won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid8:29
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Foegele – McLeod – Holloway7:22
xG 0.03–0.10 (22%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Janmark – Ryan6:45
xG 0.13–0.30 (30%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Perry – Kane – Draisaitl9:48
xG 0.51–0.84 (38%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Kulak13:01
xG 0.52–0.41 (56%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Ceci – Nurse2:24
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Ekholm – Bouchard11:32
xG 0.19–0.32 (38%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Grundstrom – Turcotte3:14
xG 0.18–0.03 (86%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Lewis – Dubois – Laferriere3:13
xG 0.08–0.06 (56%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore7:28
xG 0.26–0.27 (50%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield7:26
xG 0.20–0.26 (43%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy15:14
xG 0.76–0.32 (70%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence9:21
xG 0.17–0.40 (30%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson12:45
xG 0.06–0.48 (11%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).