Mon, Feb 12, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Seattle Kraken 1, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 07 | 08 | 113 | 128 |
| NJD | 112 | 217 | 08 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:36NJDTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes · Slap, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 0:48NJDJack HughesGWGAssists: Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 4:54NJDDawson MercerAssists: Timo Meier, Santeri Hatakka · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–3
- P3 10:00SEAWill BorgenAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:24NJDColin Miller: Kneeing2 min
- P1 6:33SEAJamie Oleksiak: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:15SEAAndre Burakovsky: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 8:39SEAKailer Yamamoto: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:19SEAWill Borgen: Interference2 min
- P2 18:13NJDKevin Bahl: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:22SEAAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:00NJDKevin Bahl: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Tatar – Beniers3:44
xG 0.50–0.29 (63%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers5:49
xG 0.44–0.26 (63%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Burakovsky – Tanev – Yamamoto2:04
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Tatar – Tanev – Yamamoto2:53
xG 0.03–0.03 (52%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Oleksiak2:30
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Dunn – Borgen3:51
xG 0.28–0.02 (94%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Dunn – Evans2:53
xG 0.16–0.02 (91%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Toffoli – Hughes7:35
xG 0.76–0.13 (85%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hischier10:24
xG 0.84–0.36 (70%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
- Lazar – Meier – Mercer9:37
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Nosek – Bastian – Holtz4:06
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMarino – Hughes13:28
xG 0.66–0.41 (61%)attempts 14–18goals 1–1
- Miller – Hatakka10:20
xG 0.93–0.75 (55%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Bahl – Nemec12:37
xG 0.08–0.43 (16%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).