Thu, Feb 15, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 2, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 18 | 18 | 229 |
| NJD | 05 | 17 | 015 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:07LAKAnze KopitarSHAssists: Adrian Kempe · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 12:58NJDTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.25 xG1–1
- P3 14:23LAKQuinton ByfieldPPGWGAssists: Brandt Clarke, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 18:01NJDErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:26NJDLuke Hughes: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:11LAKAlex Turcotte: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:37LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:05LAKViktor Arvidsson: Elbowing2 min
- P2 15:05NJDJack Hughes: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:51LAKKevin Fiala: Interference2 min
- P3 5:54LAKBrandt Clarke: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:06NJDErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:56LAKViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:43NJDCurtis Lazar: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lazar won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore7:20
xG 0.97–0.01 (99%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Kempe – Dubois – Laferriere6:14
xG 0.30–0.07 (81%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Byfield8:08
xG 0.15–0.15 (49%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Lewis – Anderson-Dolan – Turcotte4:28
xG 0.08–0.35 (18%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:00
xG 0.89–0.59 (60%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Clarke8:43
xG 0.50–0.24 (67%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Englund – Roy9:03
xG 0.45–0.36 (56%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestNosek – Bastian – Holtz5:26
xG 0.31–0.16 (65%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hischier8:25
xG 0.25–0.17 (59%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Haula – Toffoli – Hughes8:58
xG 0.12–0.48 (20%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Lazar – Meier – Mercer9:12
xG 0.03–0.63 (4%)attempts 5–21goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Smith – Miller8:49
xG 0.09–0.13 (41%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Bahl – Nemec8:33
xG 0.11–0.23 (33%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
- Marino – Hughes11:09
xG 0.55–0.71 (44%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).