Mon, Feb 19, 2024·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 7, Minnesota Wild 10
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 24 | 312 | 28 | 724 |
| MIN | 18 | 29 | 710 | 1027 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:51VANIan ColeAssists: Tyler Myers, Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 13:21VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Noah Juulsen · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 19:10MINJoel Eriksson EkAssists: Matt Boldy, Kirill Kaprizov · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 5:37VANElias PetterssonAssists: Nils Hoglander, Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P2 9:24VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–1
- P2 11:00MINMatt BoldyAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Jon Merrill · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–2
- P2 14:30VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.09 xG5–2
- P2 19:27MINMats ZuccarelloPPAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek · Wrist, 0.08 xG5–3
- P3 0:29MINJoel Eriksson EkPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Ryan Hartman · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–4
- P3 1:23MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Matt Boldy · Slap, 0.13 xG5–5
- P3 1:44MINJoel Eriksson EkPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Snap, 0.10 xG5–6
- P3 4:48MINMarco RossiAssists: Jake Lucchini, Vinni Lettieri · Deflected, 0.18 xG5–7
- P3 5:12MINKirill KaprizovGWGAssists: Matt Boldy · Snap, 0.20 xG5–8
- P3 8:26VANNikita ZadorovAssists: J.T. Miller, Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.04 xG6–8
- P3 17:52VANBrock BoeserAssists: Quinn Hughes, Filip Hronek · Tip-in, 0.08 xG7–8
- P3 18:53MINJonas BrodinENAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek · Wrist, 0.31 xG7–9
- P3 19:58MINKirill KaprizovENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.56 xG7–10
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:04VANConor Garland: High sticking2 min
- P1 4:04MINMats Zuccarello: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 4:04VANNoah Juulsen: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 4:37VANElias Lindholm: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:47MINJoel Eriksson Ek: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:22MINRyan Hartman: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 17:57VANNikita Zadorov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 18:48VANTeddy Blueger: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:51VANElias Pettersson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:48VANJ.T. Miller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 14:56MINJake Middleton: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Boeser – Suter9:35
xG 0.67–0.46 (59%)attempts 14–8goals 4–1
- Lindholm – Pettersson – Hoglander9:45
xG 0.40–0.34 (54%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Blueger – Garland – Mikheyev9:34
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Lafferty – Aman5:35
xG 0.21–0.23 (48%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes17:00
xG 1.07–0.61 (64%)attempts 22–15goals 1–3
- Zadorov – Juulsen10:05
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Cole – Myers11:01
xG 0.32–0.38 (46%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Duhaime – Dewar7:35
xG 0.09–0.02 (79%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy10:02
xG 0.55–0.49 (53%)attempts 10–13goals 3–2
- Hartman – Lettieri – Lucchini5:50
xG 0.08–0.04 (68%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
- Johansson – Zuccarello – Hartman4:00
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMerrill – Chisholm10:32
xG 0.48–0.21 (69%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Bogosian – Middleton4:14
xG 0.13–0.16 (45%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Bogosian – Brodin12:15
xG 0.54–0.64 (46%)attempts 12–17goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).