Wed, Feb 21, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 116 | 214 | 03 | 333 |
| CHI | 17 | 08 | 07 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:18PHITravis SanheimAssists: Scott Laughton, Joel Farabee · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 7:35CHIColin BlackwellAssists: Joey Anderson · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 3:15PHITravis KonecnyGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 11:55PHIGarnet HathawayAssists: Noah Cates, Ryan Poehling · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 9:02PHIEgor Zamula: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:05PHIJoel Farabee: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 2:51PHINick Seeler: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:51CHIReese Johnson: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Frost won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestKonecny – Frost – Farabee12:27
xG 0.93–0.47 (66%)attempts 23–9goals 0–0
- Hathaway – Poehling – Cates10:04
xG 0.55–0.51 (52%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Laughton – Tippett3:44
xG 0.03–0.06 (36%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Couturier – Tippett9:36
xG 0.18–0.24 (44%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWalker – York4:59
xG 0.59–0.26 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Staal – Drysdale8:40
xG 0.42–0.16 (72%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Seeler – Zamula2:47
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Donato – Entwistle – Johnson4:24
xG 0.09–0.13 (40%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson13:08
xG 0.41–0.51 (45%)attempts 7–17goals 1–0
- Foligno – Kurashev – Bedard15:59
xG 0.18–0.58 (23%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
- Johnson – Beauvillier – Raddysh10:36
xG 0.45–1.01 (31%)attempts 10–21goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Korchinski9:25
xG 0.65–0.57 (53%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Phillips6:58
xG 0.06–0.01 (81%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Megna3:50
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).