Thu, Feb 22, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 5, New Jersey Devils 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 28 | 26 | 14 | 518 |
| NJD | 016 | 011 | 113 | 140 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:14NYRMika ZibanejadPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 17:56NYRAlexis LafrenièreGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–0
- P2 9:53NYRChris KreiderAssists: Artemi Panarin, Igor Shesterkin · Snap, 0.20 xG3–0
- P2 19:20NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–0
- P3 14:29NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Artemi Panarin, Erik Gustafsson · Snap, 0.13 xG5–0
- P3 17:53NJDJack HughesAssists: Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:25NYRMatt Rempe: Match penalty5 min
- P1 2:25NYRMatt Rempe: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:25NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:09NJDCurtis Lazar: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 16:59NYRArtemi Panarin: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:51NJDErik Haula: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:22NJDNathan Bastian: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:22NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:22NJDNathan Bastian: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:13NJDLuke Hughes: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:08NYRKaapo Kakko: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 16:35NYRErik Gustafsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:31NJDTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière8:17
xG 0.67–0.28 (71%)attempts 10–9goals 2–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Lafrenière2:06
xG 0.01–0.06 (10%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Edstrom6:07
xG 0.05–0.13 (26%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Kakko – Cuylle7:18
xG 0.13–0.38 (25%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Fox – Lindgren10:19
xG 0.20–0.28 (41%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller10:35
xG 0.27–0.58 (31%)attempts 6–25goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Schneider9:05
xG 0.25–0.85 (23%)attempts 3–14goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestLazar – Meier – Mercer7:11
xG 0.62–0.28 (69%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Palat – Bratt – Hischier8:07
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 15–2goals 0–1
- Haula – Toffoli – Hughes7:50
xG 0.26–0.44 (37%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBahl – Nemec9:59
xG 0.89–0.07 (93%)attempts 21–4goals 1–0
- Smith – Siegenthaler9:12
xG 0.34–0.22 (61%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Smith – Nemec2:21
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).