Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 013 | 27 | 05 | 00 | 225 |
| VAN | 09 | 012 | 217 | 11 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:27BOSJesper BoqvistAssists: Justin Brazeau · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 11:15BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Trent Frederic, Morgan Geekie · Backhand, 0.26 xG2–0
- P3 12:49VANBrock BoeserAssists: Nikita Zadorov, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 18:49VANFilip HronekAssists: J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 1:34VANBrock BoeserPPGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.19 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:50VANArshdeep Bains: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 6:12BOSJames van Riemsdyk: High sticking2 min
- P1 9:24VANConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 19:21VANTyler Myers: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:19VANIan Cole: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:09BOSTrent Frederic: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHeinen – Frederic – Geekie9:04
xG 0.36–0.26 (59%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Pastrnak – Zacha8:22
xG 0.62–0.71 (47%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Richard – Brazeau – Boqvist6:17
xG 0.14–0.40 (26%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Marchand – Coyle – DeBrusk11:15
xG 0.19–0.48 (29%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Forbort – Wotherspoon12:33
xG 0.67–0.66 (50%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo3:35
xG 0.08–0.14 (37%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Forbort – Carlo2:01
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Hoglander – Mikheyev9:06
xG 0.46–0.18 (72%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Garland – Bains9:24
xG 0.41–0.33 (55%)attempts 12–3goals 0–1
- Di Giuseppe – Blueger – Lafferty5:56
xG 0.20–0.14 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Miller – Boeser – Suter11:06
xG 0.56–0.62 (48%)attempts 20–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes19:01
xG 1.33–0.39 (77%)attempts 41–14goals 0–1
- Cole – Myers11:17
xG 0.68–0.51 (57%)attempts 12–14goals 0–1
- Zadorov – Juulsen9:51
xG 0.28–0.16 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).