Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 18 | 05 | 00 | 1 | 224 |
| LAK | 119 | 116 | 013 | 02 | 2 | 350 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:33ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Ryan Strome, Cam Fowler · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 15:23LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 9:08ANASam CarrickSHAssists: Adam Henrique · Deflected, 0.16 xG2–1
- P2 14:24LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Pierre-Luc Dubois scored
- 2. ANA Mason McTavish stopped
- 3. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 4. ANA Leo Carlsson scored
- 5. LAK Kevin Fiala stopped
- 6. ANA Alex Killorn stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:24LAKBlake Lizotte: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 14:36ANAAlex Killorn: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 4:49LAKAlex Laferriere: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:36ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:36ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:36LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:13ANAAlex Killorn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:02ANAFrank Vatrano: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Carrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestVatrano – Terry – McTavish8:59
xG 0.64–0.53 (55%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Killorn – Henrique – Carlsson13:53
xG 0.44–0.65 (41%)attempts 12–20goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Strome – Lundeström8:18
xG 0.41–0.84 (33%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Carrick – Johnston – Jones7:33
xG 0.17–0.63 (21%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Vaakanainen16:09
xG 0.80–0.54 (60%)attempts 22–13goals 0–0
- Lyubushkin – Mintyukov13:59
xG 0.67–0.93 (42%)attempts 14–25goals 0–0
- Gudas – LaCombe13:43
xG 0.38–1.59 (19%)attempts 11–26goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDubois – Kaliyev – Byfield11:32
xG 0.71–0.23 (76%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore11:54
xG 1.09–0.82 (57%)attempts 23–18goals 0–0
- Lewis – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte6:55
xG 0.30–0.04 (89%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Laferriere10:31
xG 0.66–0.66 (50%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy2:04
xG 0.45–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Englund – Spence9:20
xG 0.72–0.40 (64%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Doughty – Gavrikov17:55
xG 1.21–0.98 (55%)attempts 30–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).