Sun, Feb 25, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 114 | 18 | 018 | 240 |
| CBJ | 116 | 314 | 011 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:34CBJDmitri VoronkovPPAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 14:22NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Adam Fox · Snap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 0:18CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Dmitri Voronkov, Egor Chinakhov · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–2
- P2 11:11NYRAdam EdstromAssists: Matt Rempe · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 11:57CBJJack RoslovicGWGAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–3
- P2 18:35CBJIvan ProvorovAssists: Jack Roslovic, Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:12CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:12NYRMatt Rempe: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:34NYRJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P2 8:34CBJIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:13NYRJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P3 12:43NYRRyan Lindgren: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:37CBJDmitri Voronkov: Delaying game face off violation2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Voronkov won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey4:21
xG 0.25–0.02 (91%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Panarin6:04
xG 0.61–0.46 (57%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Edstrom – Rempe4:37
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Vesey – Brodzinski – Cuylle3:26
xG 0.01–0.03 (31%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Fox2:57
xG 0.19–0.13 (59%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:21
xG 0.55–0.64 (46%)attempts 19–22goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller10:43
xG 0.33–1.01 (24%)attempts 11–15goals 0–3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Chinakhov9:51
xG 1.70–0.41 (80%)attempts 25–9goals 1–1
- Kuraly – Olivier – Danforth7:04
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Nylander – Johnson – Sillinger10:13
xG 0.38–0.32 (54%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Roslovic15:20
xG 0.93–0.88 (51%)attempts 15–30goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist15:04
xG 1.94–0.62 (76%)attempts 23–22goals 1–0
- Severson – Provorov12:35
xG 1.00–0.53 (65%)attempts 23–15goals 1–1
- Gudbranson – Bean13:14
xG 0.54–0.64 (46%)attempts 16–18goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).