Mon, Feb 26, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Boston Bruins 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 110 | 19 | 02 | 0 | 332 |
| SEA | 07 | 15 | 214 | 01 | 1 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:53BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Jesper Boqvist · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 4:45SEAJordan EberlePPUnassisted · Backhand, 0.31 xG1–1
- P2 17:08BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Pavel Zacha, Charlie McAvoy · Snap, 0.20 xG2–1
- P3 5:29SEAVince DunnAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Yanni Gourde · Snap, 0.03 xG2–2
- P3 14:30SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Will Borgen, Alexander Wennberg · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 17:08BOSCharlie CoylePPAssists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SEA Kailer Yamamoto scored
- 2. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 3. SEA Tomas Tatar stopped
- 4. SEA Matty Beniers stopped
- 5. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
Penalties (6)
- P2 3:03BOSJustin Brazeau: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:13BOSBrandon Carlo: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:50BOSJames van Riemsdyk: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 8:28BOSMorgan Geekie: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:15SEAJordan Eberle: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:33BOSDanton Heinen: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Geekie won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPastrnak – Zacha – DeBrusk5:29
xG 0.50–0.07 (88%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Heinen – Frederic – Geekie10:28
xG 0.45–0.15 (75%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- van Riemsdyk – Zacha – DeBrusk2:14
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Marchand – Coyle – Pastrnak4:20
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Wotherspoon10:47
xG 1.07–0.27 (80%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy13:37
xG 0.84–0.32 (73%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Wotherspoon – McAvoy2:38
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg12:23
xG 0.76–0.46 (62%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Tatar – Gourde – Tanev3:02
xG 0.00–0.22 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Tatar – Tanev – Yamamoto5:59
xG 0.04–0.29 (13%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Gourde – Burakovsky – Tolvanen9:16
xG 0.26–0.70 (27%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Schultz – Dumoulin11:23
xG 0.14–0.50 (22%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen11:46
xG 0.48–0.85 (36%)attempts 14–13goals 1–2
- Larsson – Dunn17:08
xG 0.29–1.12 (20%)attempts 14–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).