Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 5, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 17 | 17 | 36 | 520 |
| VAN | 03 | 011 | 110 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:19LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Kevin Fiala, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 5:14LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P3 2:55VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 4:27LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 12:31LAKBrandt ClarkeAssists: Quinton Byfield, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.24 xG4–1
- P3 15:38LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Kevin Fiala · Backhand, 0.19 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:16VANArshdeep Bains: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:10LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:20LAKVladislav Gavrikov: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:13LAKJaret Anderson-Dolan: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 4:04VANFilip Hronek: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 15:47LAKAlex Laferriere: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:47VANNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore9:37
xG 0.43–0.14 (75%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Dubois – Anderson-Dolan – Laferriere3:12
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Lewis – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte2:44
xG 0.04–0.02 (66%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Dubois – Byfield – Laferriere3:43
xG 0.03–0.21 (14%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Clarke5:49
xG 0.46–0.11 (81%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Roy13:16
xG 0.50–0.38 (57%)attempts 8–15goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence11:42
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Garland – Suter4:11
xG 0.22–0.04 (85%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Garland – Bains4:47
xG 0.17–0.00 (98%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Blueger – Lafferty4:40
xG 0.20–0.04 (85%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Garland – Hoglander2:09
xG 0.07–0.01 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Myers10:19
xG 0.52–0.04 (93%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Juulsen8:20
xG 0.50–0.26 (66%)attempts 20–3goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Hronek5:00
xG 0.10–0.04 (73%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).