Sat, Mar 2, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 213 | 213 | 15 | 531 |
| CHI | 19 | 06 | 113 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:33CBJAlexandre TexierUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 14:05CBJBoone JennerAssists: Zach Werenski, Jack Roslovic · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 17:32CHIPhilipp KurashevAssists: Connor Bedard, Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 3:09CBJMathieu OlivierGWGAssists: Zach Werenski · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 11:51CBJCole SillingerAssists: Alex Nylander, Adam Boqvist · Snap, 0.16 xG4–1
- P3 6:18CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–2
- P3 17:35CBJJohnny GaudreauENAssists: Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.68 xG5–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 17:54CBJErik Gudbranson: Holding2 min
- P2 5:55CBJDamon Severson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:21CHISeth Jones: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:18CBJIvan Provorov: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:23CHISeth Jones: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNylander – Texier – Sillinger11:42
xG 0.89–0.75 (54%)attempts 14–15goals 2–1
- Marchenko – Voronkov – Chinakhov9:41
xG 0.44–0.40 (52%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Roslovic10:17
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Danforth10:32
xG 0.21–0.37 (35%)attempts 6–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist14:32
xG 1.31–0.69 (65%)attempts 18–17goals 4–1
- Severson – Provorov16:05
xG 0.52–0.71 (42%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Bean13:44
xG 0.32–0.58 (35%)attempts 16–8goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBeauvillier – Katchouk – Johnson6:40
xG 0.65–0.39 (63%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Donato – Kurashev – Bedard13:31
xG 1.01–0.94 (52%)attempts 13–15goals 2–3
- Foligno – Johnson – Raddysh10:47
xG 0.12–0.27 (30%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson10:01
xG 0.15–0.31 (33%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic12:39
xG 0.58–0.30 (66%)attempts 12–15goals 1–1
- Jones – Korchinski7:54
xG 0.35–0.12 (74%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Phillips – Korchinski3:26
xG 0.38–0.16 (70%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).