Sun, Mar 3, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New Jersey Devils 1, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 111 | 06 | 014 | 131 |
| LAK | 27 | 29 | 17 | 523 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:15NJDTimo MeierAssists: Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 7:56LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Kevin Fiala, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 14:49LAKAlex LaferriereGWGAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 12:23LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Matt Roy, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–3
- P2 12:57LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 17:47LAKPhillip DanaultENAssists: Trevor Moore, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.77 xG1–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 1:06NJDOndrej Palat: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:15LAKJacob Moverare: Holding2 min
- P2 9:12LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 12:29NJDJohn Marino: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:53NJDKevin Bahl: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Bratt – Hischier6:42
xG 0.22–0.01 (96%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Bratt – Hischier – Hughes3:52
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Haula – Meier – Mercer2:44
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- MacDermid – Nosek – Holtz2:22
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Hughes12:18
xG 0.42–0.31 (58%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
- Miller – Siegenthaler2:41
xG 0.04–0.08 (30%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Nemec9:39
xG 0.33–0.53 (38%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore9:58
xG 0.55–0.34 (61%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Turcotte – Byfield9:44
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Dubois – Anderson-Dolan – Laferriere3:07
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Lewis – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte2:14
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Spence10:12
xG 0.54–0.17 (76%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Doughty – Moverare10:28
xG 0.51–0.31 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 1–1
- Doughty – Clarke5:14
xG 0.12–0.11 (53%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).