Tue, Mar 19, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15 | 09 | 110 | 224 |
| LAK | 16 | 311 | 27 | 624 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:03LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Blake Lizotte, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 14:27CHINick FolignoPPAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Seth Jones · Deflected, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 9:32LAKVladislav GavrikovAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Snap, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 11:52LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.25 xG1–3
- P2 19:08LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Deflected, 0.13 xG1–4
- P3 5:47LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–5
- P3 14:16CHIKevin KorchinskiAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Connor Bedard · Slap, 0.02 xG2–5
- P3 17:10LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Vladislav Gavrikov · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:07LAKMatt Roy: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 14:14LAKAdrian Kempe: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:17LAKQuinton Byfield: Interference2 min
- P2 17:54CHIConnor Bedard: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:29LAKAlex Turcotte: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Johnson – Kurashev – Bedard13:09
xG 0.46–0.56 (45%)attempts 17–9goals 0–2
- Foligno – Athanasiou – Reichel11:05
xG 0.18–0.40 (31%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson8:55
xG 0.13–0.52 (20%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Donato – Raddysh – Slaggert8:08
xG 0.00–0.62 (0%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZaitsev – Korchinski3:05
xG 0.13–0.07 (64%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic16:03
xG 0.22–0.24 (47%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Zaitsev – Kaiser14:52
xG 0.53–0.57 (48%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Byfield11:34
xG 1.21–0.17 (88%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Fiala – Dubois – Laferriere2:38
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Dubois – Lizotte – Laferriere6:11
xG 0.29–0.15 (66%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore12:39
xG 0.39–0.34 (54%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson14:31
xG 0.58–0.16 (78%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence9:21
xG 0.63–0.24 (73%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Roy – Moverare2:41
xG 0.35–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).