Wed, Mar 20, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Minnesota Wild 0, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 010 | 09 | 012 | 031 |
| LAK | 311 | 39 | 07 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:08LAKPhillip DanaultGWGAssists: Trevor Moore, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 15:03LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Snap, 0.17 xG0–2
- P1 16:26LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Mikey Anderson, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 0:28LAKMatt RoyAssists: Quinton Byfield, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–4
- P2 7:34LAKJordan SpencePPAssists: Trevor Moore, Phillip Danault · Snap, 0.06 xG0–5
- P2 17:15LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Drew Doughty, Viktor Arvidsson · Slap, 0.08 xG0–6
Penalties (26)
- P1 10:19LAKAndreas Englund: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:19MINJake Middleton: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 13:08MINMatt Boldy: Holding2 min
- P1 17:51LAKAdrian Kempe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 17:51MINRyan Hartman: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 2:05LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 5:50MINMats Zuccarello: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 15:13MINMarcus Foligno: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 19:54LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:59MINRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:59LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:59MINRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:59LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:59MINJake Middleton: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:59LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Misconduct10 min
- P3 8:59MINRyan Hartman: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16LAKAnze Kopitar: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16LAKAdrian Kempe: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16LAKMatt Roy: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16MINJake Lucchini: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16MINZach Bogosian: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16MINDeclan Chisholm: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16LAKQuinton Byfield: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16MINMason Shaw: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:16MINAdam Beckman: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hartman won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestShaw – Lucchini – Beckman3:43
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Rossi11:33
xG 0.18–0.16 (52%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Johansson – Gaudreau – Khusnutdinov3:12
xG 0.01–0.06 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Hartman – Boldy4:01
xG 0.05–0.18 (22%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMiddleton – Faber13:26
xG 1.28–0.50 (72%)attempts 22–12goals 0–3
- Merrill – Mermis12:16
xG 0.50–0.27 (65%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Bogosian – Chisholm11:09
xG 0.17–0.22 (44%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore10:10
xG 0.51–0.33 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Arvidsson – Dubois – Laferriere7:52
xG 0.31–0.36 (46%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Lewis – Lizotte – Laferriere4:06
xG 0.06–0.20 (23%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield7:48
xG 0.20–0.55 (27%)attempts 5–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Roy11:20
xG 0.47–0.49 (49%)attempts 9–12goals 3–0
- Doughty – Anderson10:12
xG 0.31–0.34 (48%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Englund – Spence8:41
xG 0.21–0.26 (44%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).