Thu, Mar 21, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 013 | 07 | 09 | 029 |
| ANA | 07 | 312 | 16 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:10ANAAlex KillornGWGAssists: Gustav Lindstrom, Urho Vaakanainen · Tip-in, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 9:34ANABrett LeasonAssists: Ben Meyers, Pavel Mintyukov · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 18:26ANAAlex KillornAssists: Brett Leason, Olen Zellweger · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P3 10:31ANAFrank VatranoPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Troy Terry · Snap, 0.12 xG0–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 10:23CHIJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:23ANARoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:32ANARyan Strome: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:36CHILandon Slaggert: Holding2 min
- P2 10:09CHINikita Zaitsev: Interference2 min
- P2 15:13CHILandon Slaggert: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:13ANAPavel Mintyukov: Embellishment2 min
- P2 16:17CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:15CHIAlex Vlasic: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:15ANARyan Strome: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:58CHIConnor Bedard: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:37CHINick Foligno: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Foligno – Kurashev – Bedard13:32
xG 0.60–0.56 (52%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Anderson – Slaggert6:21
xG 0.03–0.15 (18%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Johnson – Athanasiou – Reichel10:01
xG 0.11–0.69 (14%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Megna – Kaiser3:17
xG 0.05–0.03 (60%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Zaitsev – Kaiser7:43
xG 0.04–0.10 (27%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic10:18
xG 0.59–0.65 (47%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – McTavish7:50
xG 0.69–0.04 (94%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Leason – McTavish4:07
xG 0.23–0.01 (98%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Jones – Lundeström – Leason5:15
xG 0.15–0.02 (86%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Jones – Lundeström4:42
xG 0.16–0.08 (67%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLaCombe – Mintyukov16:13
xG 0.98–0.16 (86%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Vaakanainen – Lindstrom11:54
xG 0.53–0.18 (74%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Fowler – Zellweger15:43
xG 0.36–0.64 (36%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).