Sat, Mar 23, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 5, San Jose Sharks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 214 | 27 | 11 | 531 |
| SJS | 215 | 210 | 05 | 00 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53SJSThomas BordeleauPPAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Calen Addison · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 10:17SJSThomas BordeleauAssists: Justin Bailey, Nico Sturm · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 0:16SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Klim Kostin, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 1:24SJSFabian ZetterlundPPAssists: William Eklund, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–4
- P2 6:45CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Tyler Johnson · Backhand, 0.03 xG1–4
- P2 13:20CHITyler JohnsonAssists: Ryan Donato, Taylor Raddysh · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 6:20CHISeth JonesAssists: Wyatt Kaiser, Connor Bedard · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 19:13CHIPhilipp KurashevAssists: Ryan Donato, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–4
- OT 0:18CHISeth JonesGWGAssists: Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:24CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 11:11SJSLuke Kunin: Interference2 min
- P1 17:45CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 17:45SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:15CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 9:36CHIJaycob Megna: Holding2 min
- P3 2:40SJSJacob MacDonald: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:09CHIWyatt Kaiser: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Entwistle – Slaggert3:44
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Kurashev – Reichel5:53
xG 0.23–0.12 (66%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Foligno – Dickinson – Bedard7:27
xG 0.27–0.17 (62%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
- Foligno – Dickinson – Anderson3:17
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZaitsev – Korchinski6:43
xG 0.53–0.18 (75%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Zaitsev – Vlasic2:40
xG 0.19–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic13:53
xG 0.20–0.28 (42%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKunin – Zadina – Barabanov9:23
xG 0.96–0.11 (90%)attempts 21–5goals 0–0
- Bailey – Sturm – Bordeleau8:59
xG 0.48–0.25 (66%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Granlund – Kostin – Zetterlund12:12
xG 0.27–0.61 (31%)attempts 8–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Ferraro13:47
xG 1.18–0.17 (88%)attempts 26–6goals 1–0
- Rutta – Thrun12:45
xG 0.42–0.32 (57%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Addison8:24
xG 0.25–0.67 (28%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).