Tue, Mar 26, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 5, New York Rangers 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 015 | 212 | 315 | 00 | 542 |
| NYR | 09 | 19 | 48 | 11 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:58PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Travis Konecny, Travis Sanheim · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 11:39PHIRyan PoehlingPPAssists: Scott Laughton, Egor Zamula · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 15:28NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 1:23NYRJonny BrodzinskiAssists: Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P3 2:57NYRAlexis LafrenièreUnassisted · Backhand, 0.27 xG2–3
- P3 6:45PHITravis KonecnyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 9:34NYRVincent TrocheckSHAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–4
- P3 11:45PHIOwen TippettAssists: Morgan Frost · Backhand, 0.08 xG4–4
- P3 13:59NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–5
- P3 16:29PHITyson FoersterUnassisted · Backhand, 0.22 xG5–5
- OT 0:36NYRAdam FoxGWGAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–6
Penalties (4)
- P1 17:42NYRAdam Fox: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:06NYRVincent Trocheck: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:40PHITyson Foerster: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:38NYRZac Jones: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Poehling
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHathaway – Poehling – Foerster11:56
xG 0.94–0.51 (65%)attempts 22–9goals 1–1
- Couturier – Cates – Lycksell8:07
xG 0.47–0.12 (79%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Laughton – Farabee – Brink9:45
xG 0.29–0.05 (84%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Konecny – Tippett – Frost12:59
xG 0.78–0.62 (56%)attempts 16–19goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Zamula14:45
xG 0.80–0.34 (70%)attempts 21–11goals 1–2
- Ginning – Attard11:05
xG 0.68–0.26 (72%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Sanheim – York21:18
xG 1.05–0.82 (56%)attempts 22–21goals 2–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBrodzinski – Roslovic – Kakko2:53
xG 0.16–0.01 (94%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Roslovic – Lafrenière2:20
xG 0.12–0.10 (54%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Panarin5:26
xG 0.19–0.23 (45%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Roslovic4:34
xG 0.17–0.25 (40%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Schneider17:11
xG 0.94–0.71 (57%)attempts 18–20goals 3–1
- Fox – Jones19:26
xG 0.50–0.72 (41%)attempts 18–23goals 0–1
- Ruhwedel – Scanlin9:48
xG 0.02–0.85 (2%)attempts 6–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).