Thu, Mar 28, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Anaheim Ducks 2, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 010 | 04 | 29 | 223 |
| SEA | 08 | 19 | 311 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:03SEAJaden SchwartzPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Tip-in, 0.17 xG0–1
- P3 2:08ANAIsac LundeströmSHAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Urho Vaakanainen · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P3 2:52ANAJakob SilfverbergSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 6:25SEAAndre BurakovskyPPAssists: Justin Schultz, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 13:03SEATye KartyeGWGAssists: Yanni Gourde, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 15:35SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Jared McCann, Andre Burakovsky · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–4
Penalties (17)
- P1 0:10SEAAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
- P1 2:20ANATrevor Zegras: Interference2 min
- P1 12:37SEAWill Borgen: Interference2 min
- P2 5:05ANABen Meyers: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:54ANACam Fowler: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:24ANAAlex Killorn: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:57ANAWilliam Lagesson: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:24SEAJared McCann: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:50ANARyan Strome: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:50SEATye Kartye: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:21ANATrevor Zegras: Holding2 min
- P3 5:21ANATrevor Zegras: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:12SEABrandon Tanev: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:12ANAWilliam Lagesson: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:49ANAJackson LaCombe: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 13:27ANAFrank Vatrano: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:50ANAAlex Killorn: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against McTavish
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Zegras6:35
xG 0.42–0.06 (88%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – McTavish2:07
xG 0.03–0.01 (79%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Lundeström – Leason – Meyers5:03
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Killorn – Terry – Carlsson9:35
xG 0.02–0.19 (11%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLagesson – Lindstrom9:42
xG 0.37–0.26 (59%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Fowler – Vaakanainen12:08
xG 0.28–0.27 (51%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- LaCombe – Mintyukov10:29
xG 0.02–0.03 (44%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Burakovsky – Tanev5:57
xG 0.39–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Gourde – Tanev – Kartye2:24
xG 0.01–0.00 (97%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Eberle – Schwartz – McCann6:16
xG 0.02–0.03 (47%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kartye – Winterton – Morrison5:58
xG 0.05–0.21 (18%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Oleksiak – Borgen10:04
xG 0.29–0.24 (55%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Larsson13:52
xG 0.23–0.24 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Schultz – Evans7:58
xG 0.06–0.14 (29%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).