Sat, Mar 30, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
San Jose Sharks 4, St. Louis Blues 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 03 | 312 | 15 | 420 |
| STL | 011 | 03 | 021 | 035 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:30SJSFilip ZadinaGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 12:05SJSMikael GranlundAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, William Eklund · Snap, 0.36 xG2–0
- P2 17:58SJSLuke KuninUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P3 16:47SJSJan RuttaENAssists: Nico Sturm · Slap, 0.35 xG4–0
Penalties (5)
- P2 4:30SJSKlim Kostin: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:10STLJake Neighbours: Interference2 min
- P2 8:57STLJustin Faulk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 13:38STLKasperi Kapanen: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:23SJSMikael Granlund: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Zetterlund – Eklund2:29
xG 0.48–0.08 (86%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Carpenter – Labanc – Zadina5:39
xG 0.14–0.30 (32%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Bailey – Kunin – Eklund7:42
xG 0.13–0.31 (29%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Granlund – Kostin – Zetterlund11:39
xG 0.14–0.40 (26%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Ferraro16:13
xG 0.78–0.51 (60%)attempts 9–19goals 1–0
- Addison – Thrun12:37
xG 0.28–0.57 (33%)attempts 4–17goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Rutta12:51
xG 0.20–0.91 (18%)attempts 10–28goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Saad – Kyrou6:14
xG 0.49–0.10 (82%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Schenn – Buchnevich – Kyrou2:55
xG 0.41–0.03 (93%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Walker – Kapanen – Blais7:32
xG 0.27–0.12 (69%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Buchnevich – Thomas – Neighbours7:24
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Perunovich9:17
xG 0.61–0.36 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Faulk – Krug6:15
xG 0.43–0.20 (69%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Leddy – Parayko16:40
xG 0.68–0.50 (57%)attempts 27–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).