Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 03 | 07 | 213 | 223 |
| LAK | 17 | 215 | 25 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:24LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.25 xG0–1
- P2 7:39LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Matt Roy, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Tip-in, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 11:49LAKTrevor MooreGWGAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Viktor Arvidsson · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–3
- P3 5:40SEAAndre BurakovskyPPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jared McCann · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 10:45LAKKevin FialaAssists: Blake Lizotte · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–4
- P3 11:20SEABrian DumoulinAssists: Yanni Gourde, Brandon Tanev · Snap, 0.10 xG2–4
- P3 16:57LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:27SEAYanni Gourde: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:02LAKKevin Fiala: Holding2 min
- P2 3:54LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:51SEAWill Borgen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 0:59SEAJamie Oleksiak: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:20LAKAlex Laferriere: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:20SEAAdam Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:20SEAVince Dunn: Abusive language10 min
- P3 3:20SEAVince Dunn: Abusive language10 min
- P3 3:43LAKBlake Lizotte: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Tanev – Kartye10:00
xG 0.49–0.13 (79%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Eberle – Schwartz – Wright12:57
xG 0.62–0.33 (65%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Tatar – Burakovsky – McCann8:35
xG 0.25–0.55 (31%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
- Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Beniers9:21
xG 0.04–0.36 (10%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Larsson2:32
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Borgen4:34
xG 0.39–0.22 (63%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Dumoulin – Evans8:31
xG 0.28–0.15 (65%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Byfield10:23
xG 0.47–0.04 (92%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Lewis – Fiala – Lizotte8:37
xG 0.19–0.22 (46%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Arvidsson – Dubois – Moore9:54
xG 0.53–0.64 (45%)attempts 10–10goals 3–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson12:34
xG 0.71–0.32 (69%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence9:23
xG 0.50–0.39 (56%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Spence2:43
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).