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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 4, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

New York Islanders 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 93% of the time.

CBJ winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:41Shot by Reilly, saved by Tarasov
  3. P1 3:58Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:19Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tarasov
  5. P1 4:20Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tarasov
  6. P1 5:58Danforth: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Olivier, Danforth, Malatesta · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Dobson, Romanov, MacLean

  7. P1 6:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Tarasov4v5
  8. P1 7:06Shot by Cizikas, saved by Tarasov4v5
  9. P1 7:53Goal by Engvall (Pulock, Palmieri)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Texier, Sillinger · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Pulock, Engvall

  10. P1 8:20Nelson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Texier, Marchenko, Sillinger · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall

  11. P1 8:26Shot by Texier, saved by Sorokin5v4
  12. P1 9:23Shot by Werenski, saved by Sorokin5v4
  13. P1 9:45Goal by Voronkov (Marchenko, Texier)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Nylander, Texier, Marchenko, Voronkov · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Romanov

  14. P1 10:03Shot by Lee, saved by Tarasov
  15. P1 10:54Shot by Nelson, saved by Tarasov
  16. P1 11:18Shot by Danforth, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 11:19Shot by Olivier, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:36Shot by Olivier, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 13:13Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Tarasov
  20. P1 13:22Shot by MacLean, saved by Tarasov
  21. P1 13:48Goal by Horvat (Barzal, Romanov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Texier, Marchenko, Sillinger · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Romanov

  22. P1 15:14Shot by Lee, saved by Tarasov
  23. P1 16:26Shot by Reilly, saved by Tarasov
  24. P1 16:45Shot by Horvat, saved by Tarasov
  25. P1 17:00Shot by Werenski, saved by Sorokin
  26. P1 17:22Goal by Marchenko (Werenski, Sillinger)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Texier, Marchenko, Sillinger · NYI Cizikas, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  27. P1 17:52Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tarasov
  28. P1 19:00Shot by Nelson, saved by Greaves
  29. P1 19:30Shot by Nelson, saved by Greaves
  30. P1 19:57Shot by Pelech, saved by Greaves
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:25Shot by Pelech, saved by Greaves
  34. P2 1:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 2:55Shot by MacLean, saved by Greaves
  36. P2 2:57Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Greaves
  37. P2 2:57Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Greaves
  38. P2 3:05Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 3:10Shot by Werenski, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 5:25Shot by Reilly, saved by Greaves
  41. P2 6:09Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Greaves
  42. P2 10:35Shot by Palmieri, saved by Greaves
  43. P2 11:35Bean: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Bean, Olivier, Danforth, Pyyhtia · NYI Nelson, Pageau, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  44. P2 11:38Shot by Dobson, saved by Greaves4v5
  45. P2 13:14Shot by Pulock, saved by Greaves4v5
  46. P2 13:15Shot by Palmieri, saved by Greaves4v5
  47. P2 13:32Shot by Engvall, saved by Greaves4v5
  48. P2 14:04Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Greaves
  49. P2 14:54Shot by Jiricek, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 15:31Shot by Pageau, saved by Greaves
  51. P2 16:33Shot by Sillinger, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 18:57Shot by Pageau, saved by Greaves
  53. P2 19:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:14Shot by Horvat, saved by Greaves
  57. P3 1:18Shot by Palmieri, saved by Greaves
  58. P3 1:42Shot by Reilly, saved by Greaves
  59. P3 3:21Goal by Dobson (Barzal, Romanov)+27 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Severson, Texier, Meyer, Sillinger · NYI Martin, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  60. P3 4:21Shot by Romanov, saved by Greaves
  61. P3 6:32Shot by Reilly, saved by Greaves
  62. P3 7:05Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 7:06Shot by Sillinger, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 7:42Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 7:48Shot by Voronkov, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 7:50Shot by Pyyhtia, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 8:09Shot by Lee, saved by Greaves
  68. P3 9:53Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 10:39Severson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Nylander, Danforth, Voronkov · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Engvall

  70. P3 12:21Shot by Barzal, saved by Greaves4v5
  71. P3 12:58Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 13:06Shot by Sillinger, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 14:06Shot by Werenski, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 16:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 16:55Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sorokin6v5
  76. P3 17:23Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sorokin6v5
  77. P3 19:22Goal by Palmieri, unassisted6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Nylander, Texier, Marchenko, Voronkov, Sillinger · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Dobson, Romanov

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final