Thu, Apr 4, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 212 | 04 | 011 | 227 |
| SJS | 08 | 05 | 13 | 116 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:55LAKAdrian KempeUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 11:13LAKAkil ThomasGWGAssists: Jordan Spence, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–0
- P3 18:08SJSKlim KostinAssists: Mikael Granlund, William Eklund · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 19:24SJSCalen Addison: Interference2 min
- P2 6:19LAKKevin Fiala: Interference2 min
- P2 12:32LAKAndreas Englund: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:32SJSLuke Kunin: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:32LAKAndreas Englund: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:32SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:59LAKJordan Spence: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 19:03SJSKlim Kostin: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 3:05SJSCalen Addison: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:51SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Fiala – Lizotte5:37
xG 0.24–0.14 (63%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Fiala – Arvidsson – Lizotte2:15
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield6:26
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Arvidsson – Dubois – Moore4:49
xG 0.01–0.04 (14%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson13:32
xG 0.74–0.15 (83%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Roy12:11
xG 0.25–0.02 (93%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Doughty – Moverare3:12
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Granlund – Kostin – Zetterlund9:42
xG 0.22–0.25 (47%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Studnicka – Zadina – Bordeleau7:33
xG 0.14–0.21 (40%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Labanc – Sturm5:55
xG 0.03–0.34 (8%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Bailey – Kunin – Eklund8:01
xG 0.11–0.77 (13%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Ferraro7:16
xG 0.37–0.31 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 0–2
- Addison – Thrun7:00
xG 0.21–0.26 (45%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Thrun4:57
xG 0.02–0.14 (12%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).