Sat, Apr 6, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 020 | 214 | 342 |
| LAK | 25 | 212 | 212 | 629 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 5:45LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Adrian Kempe · Snap, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 10:48VANBrock BoeserAssists: Elias Pettersson, Ian Cole · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 2:09LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Jordan Spence, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 8:49LAKKevin FialaGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–4
- P3 7:23VANDakota JoshuaAssists: J.T. Miller, Filip Hronek · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–4
- P3 10:35LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–5
- P3 12:35VANTeddy BluegerSHAssists: Nikita Zadorov · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–5
- P3 17:16LAKAdrian KempeSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:41VANTeddy Blueger: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 5:16VANDakota Joshua: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 5:45VANDakota Joshua: Misconduct10 min
- P2 18:12LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:28LAKViktor Arvidsson: Interference2 min
- P3 12:24VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:41VANNikita Zadorov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:28LAKTrevor Moore: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Joshua – Garland7:59
xG 0.59–0.26 (70%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Blueger – Podkolzin – Mikheyev6:21
xG 0.68–0.38 (64%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Boeser – Pettersson – Hoglander12:17
xG 0.37–0.33 (52%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Lafferty – Suter – Aman6:07
xG 0.08–0.23 (25%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Soucy8:33
xG 0.42–0.30 (59%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Cole – Zadorov12:02
xG 0.67–0.59 (53%)attempts 19–10goals 1–1
- Myers – Hughes3:03
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore10:26
xG 0.57–0.49 (54%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
- Fiala – Dubois – Laferriere9:49
xG 0.33–0.35 (49%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Lewis – Thomas – Lizotte8:49
xG 0.45–0.53 (46%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield10:16
xG 0.24–0.35 (41%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Roy15:36
xG 0.85–0.98 (46%)attempts 14–23goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson17:05
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 10–21goals 0–1
- Englund – Spence12:39
xG 0.38–0.67 (36%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).