Sun, Apr 7, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 013 | 316 | 18 | 437 |
| CHI | 05 | 011 | 08 | 024 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:06MINKirill KaprizovPPGWGAssists: Matt Boldy, Joel Eriksson Ek · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 12:30MINMarco RossiAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Snap, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 18:27MINFrederick GaudreauAssists: Zach Bogosian, Marat Khusnutdinov · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–0
- P3 8:10MINKirill KaprizovAssists: Brock Faber · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–0
Penalties (2)
- P1 12:13CHIKevin Korchinski: Holding2 min
- P2 0:34CHIPhilipp Kurashev: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy12:18
xG 0.63–0.18 (78%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Hartman – Gaudreau – Khusnutdinov12:20
xG 0.63–0.25 (71%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Rossi14:48
xG 0.86–0.50 (63%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- Shaw – Lucchini – Boldy2:34
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMermis – Chisholm9:01
xG 0.99–0.01 (99%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Bogosian – Brodin19:39
xG 1.15–0.47 (71%)attempts 22–18goals 1–0
- Middleton – Faber19:47
xG 0.65–0.33 (67%)attempts 16–18goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Johnson – Anderson7:21
xG 0.23–0.14 (62%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Foligno – Johnson – Kurashev3:27
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Kurashev – Bedard11:02
xG 0.24–0.38 (38%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Athanasiou – Reichel7:44
xG 0.28–0.44 (39%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMegna – Kaiser2:55
xG 0.23–0.03 (88%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Jones – Kaiser2:39
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Zaitsev – Korchinski5:32
xG 0.09–0.07 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).