Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 011 | 013 | 15 | 129 |
| LAK | 08 | 211 | 19 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:45LAKPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 10:33LAKMatt RoyGWGAssists: Blake Lizotte, Akil Thomas · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–2
- P3 11:18ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Olen Zellweger, Cam Fowler · Snap, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 17:42LAKKevin FialaAssists: Trevor Lewis, Drew Doughty · Wrap-around, 0.03 xG1–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:09ANASam Colangelo: Holding2 min
- P1 14:06LAKAkil Thomas: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:59ANAOlen Zellweger: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:02ANACam Fowler: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:45LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:09ANAFrank Vatrano: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:16LAKAndreas Englund: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:16ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Killorn – Terry – Carlsson13:23
xG 0.74–0.77 (49%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
- Johnston – Leason – Meyers6:07
xG 0.02–0.18 (11%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Zegras11:49
xG 0.18–0.49 (26%)attempts 3–13goals 0–1
- Silfverberg – Lundeström – Colangelo7:30
xG 0.12–0.64 (16%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLagesson – Lindstrom9:15
xG 0.30–0.23 (57%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Fowler – Zellweger15:39
xG 0.33–0.86 (28%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
- Gudas – LaCombe13:41
xG 0.26–0.88 (23%)attempts 9–19goals 0–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Fiala – Lizotte5:30
xG 0.42–0.16 (73%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Kempe – Dubois – Byfield8:21
xG 0.23–0.15 (60%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore10:34
xG 0.43–0.39 (53%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Lewis – Lizotte – Laferriere3:08
xG 0.21–0.26 (45%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy9:55
xG 0.80–0.11 (88%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence8:13
xG 0.38–0.16 (70%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson10:46
xG 0.56–0.39 (59%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).