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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 15, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 0, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:29Shot by Trouba, saved by Korpisalo
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Kreider, saved by Korpisalo
  4. P1 3:01Shot by Kreider, saved by Korpisalo
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 4:21Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Korpisalo
  7. P1 5:55Goal by Roslovic (Kreider)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Roslovic, Miller, Schneider · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  8. P1 6:39Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo
  9. P1 7:10Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo
  10. P1 9:42Shot by Chabot, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 11:04Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 11:16Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 12:33Shot by Chabot, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 13:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 13:26Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo
  16. P1 14:08Shot by Katchouk, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 14:16Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 15:09Shot by Greig, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 15:35Shot by Trouba, saved by Korpisalo
  20. P1 18:10Smejkal: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Gustafsson, Wennberg, Panarin, Kakko, Cuylle · OTT Chabot, Katchouk, Brannstrom, Kelly, Smejkal

  21. P1 19:36Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  22. P1 19:54Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  23. P1 19:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Korpisalo6v4
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Fox, saved by Korpisalo6v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end6v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:38Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 1:16Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 1:20Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 5:50Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Korpisalo
  31. P2 6:55Shot by Cuylle, saved by Korpisalo
  32. P2 7:03Kakko: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wennberg, Miller, Kakko, Schneider, Cuylle · OTT Kubalik, Imama, Chabot, MacEwen, Brannstrom

  33. P2 7:28Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  34. P2 7:34Shot by Pinto, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  35. P2 8:58Goal by Fox (Kreider, Zibanejad)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Miller · OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Chychrun, Greig, Smejkal

  36. P2 9:37Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Korpisalo
  37. P2 10:27Shot by Roslovic, saved by Korpisalo
  38. P2 10:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 11:00Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 12:40Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Cuylle, saved by Korpisalo
  42. P2 13:11Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Gustafsson, Lafrenière, Cuylle · OTT Kelly, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  43. P2 14:53Shot by Trocheck, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  44. P2 14:55Shot by Kreider, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  45. P2 17:55Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo
  46. P2 18:00Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo
  47. P2 18:59Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 19:20Shot by Kakko, saved by Korpisalo
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:37Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Korpisalo
  52. P3 0:50Shot by Greig, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 0:55Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 3:04Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Korpisalo
  55. P3 3:10Shot by Vesey, saved by Korpisalo
  56. P3 4:15Shot by Chychrun, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 4:24Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo
  58. P3 4:34Goal by Panarin (Lindgren, Fox)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · OTT Chychrun, Katchouk, Kelly, Bernard-Docker, Smejkal

  59. P3 5:19Shot by Chabot, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 8:45Shot by Chychrun, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 10:07Shot by Vesey, saved by Korpisalo
  62. P3 13:00Goal by Lafrenière (Gustafsson, Panarin)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Gustafsson, Panarin, Lafrenière · OTT Chychrun, Katchouk, Kelly, Bernard-Docker, Smejkal

  63. P3 13:46Rempe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren, Rempe · OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Pinto

  64. P3 15:31Greig: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Wennberg, Miller, Schneider · OTT Chabot, Joseph, Chychrun, Greig, Smejkal

  65. P3 16:52Shot by Chabot, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 17:13Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo
  67. P3 17:16Tkachuk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Gustafsson, Wennberg, Kakko, Cuylle · OTT Chabot, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto

  68. P3 18:18Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  69. P3 18:25Shot by Panarin, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  70. P3 18:33Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final