Fri, Oct 11, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 110 | 06 | 113 | 02 | 2 | 331 |
| VAN | 112 | 15 | 08 | 01 | 1 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:55VANNils HoglanderAssists: Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 17:24PHITyson FoersterPPAssists: Joel Farabee, Bobby Brink · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 11:25VANTeddy BluegerAssists: Derek Forbort, Pius Suter · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 2:48PHICam YorkAssists: Ryan Poehling, Garnet Hathaway · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 2. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 3. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 4. PHI Matvei Michkov stopped
- 5. VAN Jake DeBrusk scored
- 6. PHI Travis Konecny scored
- 7. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 8. PHI Tyson Foerster stopped
- 9. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 10. PHI Morgan Frost scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:43PHIScott Laughton: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:05PHIMatvei Michkov: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:31VANNils Hoglander: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:18VANFilip Hronek: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:24PHIJoel Farabee: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 6:15VANCarson Soucy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:29PHICam York: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:00VANNils Hoglander: Holding2 min
- P3 13:30PHIMorgan Frost: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Hathaway – Poehling6:52
xG 0.38–0.25 (60%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Tippett – Frost – Foerster5:35
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Konecny – Frost – Michkov4:46
xG 0.16–0.12 (57%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Couturier – Farabee – Brink2:34
xG 0.04–0.12 (26%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Sanheim – York13:05
xG 0.51–0.57 (47%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Ristolainen – Zamula11:06
xG 0.17–0.33 (34%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Johnson – Drysdale10:35
xG 0.08–0.40 (16%)attempts 5–17goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Suter – Sherwood8:25
xG 0.56–0.24 (70%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- DeBrusk – Garland – Pettersson3:17
xG 0.15–0.02 (87%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Miller – Heinen – Boeser8:46
xG 0.16–0.07 (68%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Garland – Hoglander – Räty7:24
xG 0.13–0.21 (40%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Hughes2:08
xG 0.30–0.02 (94%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hronek – Hughes11:14
xG 0.29–0.06 (84%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Forbort – Juulsen4:05
xG 0.15–0.04 (81%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).