Mon, Oct 14, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Utah Hockey Club 0, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 06 | 05 | 09 | 020 |
| NJD | 05 | 215 | 112 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:14NJDSeamus CaseyPPGWGAssists: Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 8:13NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Seamus Casey · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–2
- P3 10:13NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.32 xG0–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:23UTAIan Cole: Interference2 min
- P1 11:20NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:11NJDDougie Hamilton: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:31UTAMikhail Sergachev: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:12UTAIan Cole: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:43NJDTomas Tatar: Holding2 min
- P2 14:12UTALiam O'Brien: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 19:43UTALawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:19NJDPaul Cotter: Interference2 min
- P3 8:55UTAJuuso Välimäki: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:29UTAJosh Doan: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Hayton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Utah Hockey Club
Forward lines
- bestKerfoot – Crouse – Doan5:58
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- McBain – Guenther – Cooley3:31
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton9:06
xG 0.33–0.58 (36%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Stenlund – Maccelli5:42
xG 0.00–0.48 (0%)attempts 1–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSergachev – Durzi3:43
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Sergachev – Kolyachonok5:37
xG 0.28–0.05 (86%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Välimäki – Kolyachonok2:08
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Cotter – Hughes2:35
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Palat – Lazar – Bastian6:53
xG 0.42–0.30 (58%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Tatar – Hischier – Mercer6:02
xG 0.10–0.06 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Haula – Noesen – Cotter8:28
xG 0.31–0.41 (43%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCasey – Nemec10:47
xG 0.47–0.12 (80%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic9:57
xG 0.37–0.21 (64%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Dillon – Hamilton10:10
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it UTA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − UTA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).