Thu, Oct 17, 2024·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 04 | 17 | 111 | 222 |
| CHI | 210 | 113 | 14 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:20CHITaylor HallAssists: TJ Brodie · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 19:11CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 0:43CHINick FolignoPPGWGAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–3
- P2 18:17SJSTyler ToffoliAssists: William Eklund, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–3
- P3 2:19CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Joey Anderson · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 2:52SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Mikael Granlund, William Eklund · Deflected, 0.10 xG2–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:08SJSJake Walman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 3:13CHINick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:07CHIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:22SJSBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:42SJSJan Rutta: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:22CHIPatrick Maroon: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:23SJSMatt Benning: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:59SJSJan Rutta: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:48SJSFabian Zetterlund: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:32SJSMario Ferraro: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGoodrow – Kunin – Smith8:47
xG 0.22–0.14 (62%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Zetterlund – Dellandrea3:02
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Granlund – Eklund9:02
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Dellandrea – Sturm5:33
xG 0.11–0.34 (25%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Rutta2:07
xG 0.27–0.01 (98%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Rutta11:13
xG 0.40–0.37 (51%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
- Benning – Thrun9:48
xG 0.27–0.41 (40%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Teravainen – Bedard8:44
xG 0.47–0.13 (78%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Anderson – Mikheyev8:22
xG 0.52–0.20 (72%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Kurashev7:56
xG 0.14–0.29 (33%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel6:50
xG 0.09–0.45 (17%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Allan11:57
xG 0.33–0.29 (53%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Brodie – Vlasic2:22
xG 0.05–0.01 (82%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Brodie – Kaiser11:19
xG 0.22–0.28 (44%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).