Sun, Oct 20, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 4, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 013 | 418 | 436 |
| ANA | 06 | 04 | 14 | 114 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 3:06LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson · Snap, 0.14 xG1–0
- P3 8:58LAKAlex LaferriereGWGUnassisted · Snap, 0.16 xG2–0
- P3 18:16ANARyan StromeAssists: Troy Terry, Frank Vatrano · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 18:53LAKKevin FialaENAssists: Phillip Danault, Vladislav Gavrikov · Backhand, 0.79 xG3–1
- P3 19:24LAKMikey AndersonENAssists: Alex Turcotte · Wrist, 0.31 xG4–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 12:49LAKTrevor Lewis: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:49LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:50ANAMason McTavish: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:07ANAAlex Killorn: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:27LAKBrandt Clarke: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore11:31
xG 0.54–0.09 (85%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Foegele – Turcotte – Laferriere9:54
xG 0.49–0.07 (88%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Lee7:37
xG 0.45–0.13 (77%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield10:17
xG 0.33–0.56 (37%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke13:25
xG 0.85–0.17 (83%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- Englund – Spence12:18
xG 0.44–0.28 (61%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson16:51
xG 0.47–0.48 (50%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Terry9:54
xG 0.49–0.33 (60%)attempts 7–9goals 1–1
- Killorn – Gauthier – Carlsson12:57
xG 0.21–0.42 (33%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- McGinn – Johnston – Leason6:24
xG 0.08–0.41 (16%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Fabbri – Zegras – McTavish12:37
xG 0.04–1.08 (3%)attempts 3–24goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gudas – LaCombe10:42
xG 0.18–0.49 (26%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
- Dumoulin – Zellweger14:10
xG 0.32–0.67 (33%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Fowler – Luneau15:57
xG 0.33–0.86 (28%)attempts 9–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).