Mon, Oct 28, 2024·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
San Jose Sharks 5, Utah Hockey Club 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 117 | 317 | 13 | 546 |
| UTA | 211 | 28 | 03 | 01 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:00UTADylan GuentherAssists: Clayton Keller · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 16:24UTAMatias MaccelliAssists: Ian Cole, Nick Schmaltz · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 9:12SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Danil Gushchin, Henry Thrun · Snap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 10:38UTAMatias MaccelliAssists: Ian Cole, Vladislav Kolyachonok · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 19:36UTAMikhail SergachevAssists: Vladislav Kolyachonok, Logan Cooley · Snap, 0.02 xG1–4
- P3 15:28SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Mikael Granlund, Jake Walman · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 15:53SJSMikael GranlundAssists: Jake Walman, William Eklund · Snap, 0.02 xG3–4
- P3 17:18SJSTyler ToffoliAssists: Jake Walman, Alexander Wennberg · Snap, 0.09 xG4–4
- OT 1:26SJSAlexander WennbergPPGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Tyler Toffoli · Snap, 0.37 xG5–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:20UTADylan Guenther: Interference2 min
- P1 7:33UTALiam O'Brien: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:33SJSGivani Smith: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:35SJSTyler Toffoli: Interference2 min
- P2 4:31UTALogan Cooley: Holding2 min
- P3 1:48SJSCarl Grundstrom: Holding2 min
- P3 12:32UTANick Bjugstad: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:19UTAMichael Kesselring: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kerfoot won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Granlund – Eklund11:57
xG 0.61–0.20 (76%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Kunin – Grundstrom9:05
xG 0.36–0.35 (51%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Wennberg – Zetterlund – Gushchin9:53
xG 0.36–0.35 (50%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Smith – Kostin – Sturm2:33
xG 0.02–0.32 (6%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFerraro – Rutta13:46
xG 0.76–0.38 (67%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
- Ceci – Ferraro4:15
xG 0.27–0.09 (75%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Benning – Thrun8:14
xG 0.31–0.35 (47%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
Utah Hockey Club
Forward lines
- bestKeller – Guenther – Cooley14:42
xG 1.07–0.64 (63%)attempts 16–14goals 2–0
- O'Brien – Stenlund – McBain6:42
xG 0.13–0.21 (39%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Hayton – Maccelli9:44
xG 0.64–0.82 (44%)attempts 20–12goals 2–0
- Bjugstad – Kerfoot – Crouse10:21
xG 0.13–0.53 (20%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Lamoureux13:24
xG 0.37–0.13 (73%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Sergachev – Lamoureux2:08
xG 0.19–0.03 (85%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Kolyachonok9:21
xG 0.72–0.64 (53%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
UTA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line UTA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (UTA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).