Wed, Oct 30, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 6, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 15 | 39 | 28 | 622 |
| VAN | 07 | 07 | 06 | 020 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:53NJDNico HischierGWGAssists: Dawson Mercer · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 1:35NJDDawson MercerSHAssists: Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 3:07NJDTimo MeierAssists: Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–0
- P2 14:04NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.49 xG4–0
- P3 9:22NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Stefan Noesen, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.38 xG5–0
- P3 14:06NJDTomas TatarAssists: Nathan Bastian, Justin Dowling · Wrist, 0.25 xG6–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:00NJDJesper Bratt: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 11:02VANDanton Heinen: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:43NJDErik Haula: Holding2 min
- P1 15:43VANConor Garland: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:55NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:45NJDErik Haula: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:45VANConor Garland: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:12NJDPaul Cotter: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:34VANTeddy Blueger: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hughes won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hughes8:29
xG 1.41–0.03 (98%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Haula – Noesen – Cotter6:32
xG 0.42–0.05 (89%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Tatar – Dowling – Bastian10:19
xG 0.50–0.55 (48%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer9:57
xG 0.44–0.54 (45%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Hamilton11:04
xG 1.30–0.56 (70%)attempts 17–13goals 3–0
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic14:12
xG 0.64–0.25 (72%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Pesce – Hughes15:01
xG 0.71–0.62 (53%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSprong – DeBrusk – Pettersson2:07
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Sprong – Suter – Hoglander7:32
xG 0.28–0.33 (46%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Garland – Pettersson – Bains6:44
xG 0.13–0.28 (31%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Miller – Boeser – DeBrusk7:00
xG 0.15–0.49 (24%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes13:00
xG 0.46–0.21 (68%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Soucy – Hronek2:22
xG 0.03–0.05 (41%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Brannstrom – Hughes2:24
xG 0.10–0.13 (44%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).