Sun, Nov 3, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
New York Islanders 2, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 010 | 218 | 09 | 237 |
| NYR | 111 | 216 | 213 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:44NYRChris KreiderSHAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 1:21NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 4:38NYICasey CizikasAssists: Pierre Engvall, Simon Holmstrom · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 11:04NYRArtemi PanarinPPGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P2 19:52NYIBrock NelsonAssists: Kyle Palmieri, Anders Lee · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 5:18NYRAdam EdstromAssists: Braden Schneider, Zac Jones · Deflected, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 16:37NYRArtemi PanarinENAssists: Jacob Trouba, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:12NYRJacob Trouba: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 5:55NYRChris Kreider: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:19NYRAdam Fox: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:03NYIAnders Lee: Interference2 min
- P2 9:49NYIRyan Pulock: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 1:42NYISimon Holmstrom: Holding2 min
- P3 5:31NYRAdam Fox: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:53NYRFilip Chytil: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Nelson – Tsyplakov10:32
xG 1.07–0.59 (64%)attempts 18–7goals 0–2
- Lee – Pageau – Horvat12:17
xG 0.60–0.31 (66%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Cizikas – Engvall – Holmstrom9:42
xG 0.45–0.70 (39%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Fasching – Wahlstrom – MacLean5:13
xG 0.14–0.62 (19%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Dobson5:06
xG 0.78–0.17 (82%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Cholowski – Dobson3:58
xG 0.44–0.11 (80%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Pulock – Dobson5:45
xG 0.61–0.35 (63%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Panarin – Lafrenière11:15
xG 0.91–0.34 (72%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Kreider – Chytil – Kakko9:14
xG 0.38–0.20 (66%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Smith – Trocheck – Cuylle11:00
xG 0.67–0.84 (44%)attempts 7–16goals 1–1
- Carrick – Vesey – Edstrom7:08
xG 0.28–0.50 (36%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Schneider12:15
xG 1.08–0.63 (63%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren14:41
xG 0.55–0.73 (43%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
- Trouba – Miller16:05
xG 0.75–1.30 (37%)attempts 11–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).