Sun, Nov 3, 2024·TD Garden, Boston
Seattle Kraken 0, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 03 | 07 | 013 | 023 |
| BOS | 215 | 015 | 03 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:23BOSJustin BrazeauGWGAssists: Nikita Zadorov, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 9:57BOSCharlie CoylePPAssists: Brad Marchand, Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:20SEABrandon Montour: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:18SEAJordan Eberle: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:52SEARyker Evans: Holding2 min
- P1 18:13BOSAndrew Peeke: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:49SEAAdam Larsson: Interference2 min
- P2 15:28BOSMark Kastelic: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:14SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:06BOSTrent Frederic: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 3:06SEAAdam Larsson: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:06BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestTanev – Kartye – Wright4:41
xG 0.27–0.07 (80%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Burakovsky9:41
xG 0.36–0.39 (48%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers7:02
xG 0.06–0.41 (14%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen6:50
xG 0.05–0.92 (5%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Evans7:42
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Montour7:03
xG 0.08–0.17 (33%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Montour – Mahura4:26
xG 0.06–0.19 (24%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Lindholm – Pastrnak5:29
xG 0.55–0.02 (96%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Kastelic – Koepke – Beecher6:26
xG 0.50–0.02 (96%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Frederic – Geekie – Poitras5:42
xG 0.39–0.03 (93%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Coyle – Zacha – Brazeau6:36
xG 0.28–0.28 (50%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo11:29
xG 0.87–0.06 (93%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Wotherspoon – Peeke12:19
xG 0.64–0.24 (73%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Zadorov – McAvoy11:06
xG 0.77–0.57 (58%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).