Sun, Nov 3, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 211 | 19 | 19 | 429 |
| ANA | 014 | 09 | 217 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:57CHIIsaak PhillipsAssists: Connor Bedard, Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 16:44CHITeuvo TeravainenPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Alex Vlasic · Slap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 18:05CHISeth JonesPPGWGAssists: Connor Bedard, Lukas Reichel · Slap, 0.08 xG3–0
- P3 10:16ANABrock McGinnAssists: Ross Johnston · Snap, 0.19 xG3–1
- P3 17:43CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Connor Bedard, Philipp Kurashev · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–1
- P3 19:56ANAMason McTavishPPAssists: Troy Terry, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.21 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:00CHILukas Reichel: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:04ANAAlex Killorn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:11CHIPhilipp Kurashev: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:25CHINolan Allan: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:27ANAJackson LaCombe: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 18:53CHIPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:53ANARoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:53CHICraig Smith: Misconduct10 min
- P3 5:20CHINolan Allan: Holding2 min
- P3 18:28CHITaylor Hall: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McTavish won the faceoff against Foligno
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Hall – Bertuzzi9:27
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Bedard2:34
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel7:03
xG 0.16–0.26 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Donato – Kurashev – Bedard8:33
xG 0.47–0.90 (34%)attempts 7–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Kaiser10:12
xG 0.54–0.40 (57%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Jones – Allan5:33
xG 0.21–0.23 (47%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Murphy – Vlasic8:13
xG 0.60–0.77 (44%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKillorn – Zegras – Gauthier11:38
xG 1.01–0.21 (82%)attempts 21–6goals 0–0
- McGinn – Johnston – Lundeström6:13
xG 0.66–0.10 (87%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Strome – Fabbri – Carlsson10:10
xG 0.59–0.48 (55%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Terry – McTavish13:45
xG 0.88–1.01 (47%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Mintyukov15:51
xG 1.99–0.56 (78%)attempts 32–8goals 0–0
- Fowler – Zellweger16:12
xG 0.92–0.27 (77%)attempts 25–10goals 1–0
- Gudas – LaCombe9:16
xG 0.16–0.33 (33%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).